Text 3Positive surprises from government reports on retail sales, industrial production, and housing in the past few months are leading economists to revise their real gross domestic product (GDP) forecasts upward supporting the notion that the recession

题目

Text 3Positive surprises from government reports on retail sales, industrial production, and housing in the past few months are leading economists to revise their real gross domestic product (GDP) forecasts upward supporting the notion that the recession ended in December or January.

Bear in mind: This recovery won’t have the vitality normally associated with an upturn. Economists now expect real GDP growth of about 1.5 in the first quarter. That’s better than the 0.4 the consensus projected in December, but much of the additional growth will come from a slower pace of inventory drawdowns, not from surging demand.

Moreover, the economy won’t grow fast enough to help the labor markets much. The only good news there is that jobless claims have fallen back from their spike after September 11 and that their current level suggests the pace of layoffs is easing.

The recovery also does not mean the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates soon. The January price indexes show that inflation remains tame. Consequently, the Fed can take its time shifting monetary policy from extreme accommodation to relative neutrality.

Perhaps the best news from the latest economic reports was the January data on industrial production. Total output fell only 0.1, its best showing since July. Factory output was flat, also the best performance in six months. Those numbers may not sound encouraging, but manufacturers have been in recession since late 2000. The data suggest that the factory sector is finding a bottom from which to start its recovery.

Production of consumer goods, for instance, is almost back up to where it was a year ago. That’s because consumer demand for motor vehicles and other goods and the housing industry remained healthy during the recession, and they are still growing in early 2002.

Besides, both the monthly homebuilding starts number and the housing market index for the past two months are running above the averages for all of 2001, suggesting that home-building is off to a good start and probably won’t be big drag on GDP growth this year.

Equally important to the outlook is how the solid housing market will help demand for home-related goods and services. Traditionally, consumers buy the bulk of their furniture, electronics, and textiles within a year of purchasing their homes. Thus, spending on such items will do well this year, even as car sales slip now that incentives are less attractive. Look for the output of consumer goods to top year-ago level in coming months.

Even the business equipment sector seems to have bottomed out. Its output rose 0.4% in January, led by a 0.6% jump computer gear. A pickup in orders for capital goods in the fourth quarter suggests that production will keep increasing—although at a relaxed pace—in coming months.

第31题:American economists are surprised to see that______.

[A]they have to revise the GDP forecasts so often

[B]their government is announcing the end of a recession

[C]US economy is showing some signs of an upturn

[D]GDP growth reflects stronger domestic demand


相似考题
参考答案和解析
正确答案:C

这是一道涉及对第一、二段理解的事实细节题。第一段是一句话段落,其主干结构是positive surpriseslead economists to supporting the notion that…。该段提到政府报告带来的意外惊喜使经济学家将对国民生产总值的预测上调,从而支持了经济衰退期已在12月或1月终止的观点。由一段中的“意外惊喜”和“经济学家上调国民生产总值预测的举措”可知让他们吃惊的是经济状况好转的迹象,即[C]项为正确答案。

第一、二段只提到经济学家对GDP预期的一次调整,无法推出他们频繁地修改。排除[A]项。由第一段可知,政府只报导了各个领域经济发展的好势头,而未宣布经济衰退期的终止。排除[B]项。第二段末句but转折后提到,但是(GDP)增长部分主要是因为存货提用的速度减缓,而不是需求的增长(surging demand),由此排除[D]项。

更多“Text 3Positive surprises from government reports on retail sales, industrial production, a ”相关问题
  • 第1题:

    We believe we must increase our export sales if we want to continue to grow, and we hope to increase exports to 40 % of production.


    正确答案:我们相信要继续发展必须要增加出口销售,并且希望把出口产品增加到生产的百分之四十。

  • 第2题:

    It can be inferred from the text that the retail price of petrol will go up dramatically if______.

    A) price of crude rises

    B) commodity prices rise

    C) consumption rises

    D) oil taxes rise


    正确答案:D
    答案:D
    [试题分析]事实推理题。
    [详细解答]题干要求考生从文章的信息中推论出其中的暗示,即“在什么情况下,汽油零售价格(retail price of petrol)会大幅上涨”。文章的第三段谈到,原油价格只占汽油零售价格的一小部分,其大部分(在欧洲高达五分之四)是税收,因此原油价格的变动对汽油价格(pump prices,这里借用pump的“汽油泵”的含义指代加油站零售的汽油)影响不大,影响汽油价格的主要因素是税收。所以汽油价格的条件是D选项"oil taxes rise" (石油税上涨)。A选项“price of crude rise8”(原油价格上涨)影响不大,B选项“commodity prices rise”(商品价格上涨)和C选项“consumption rises”(消费上涨)方面文中未提及。

  • 第3题:

    The government manages to affect the level of aggregate demand through and( )monetary policy.

    A.commerc ial

    B.fiscal

    C.sluggish

    D.industrial


    正确答案:B

  • 第4题:

    Retail firms analyze sales trends and user preference through internet user data,this belongs to( )application area.

    A.Big datA
    B.Cloud computing
    C.Internet of things
    D.Artificial intelligence

    答案:A
    解析:

  • 第5题:

    We believe that sales will increase soon; (), production costs will be going up also.

    Aso

    Bthus

    Con the other hand

    Dhowever


    C

  • 第6题:

    There has been a great increase in retail sales , ()﹖

    • A、does there    
    • B、isn't there  
    • C、hasn't there     
    • D、isn't it

    正确答案:C

  • 第7题:

    在oracle数据库中,如何删除sales表中产品类型为toys的profits列的列值?()

    • A、delete from sales
    • B、delete profits from sales where product_type=’TOYS’
    • C、delete from sales where product_type=’ToYS’
    • D、update sales set profits=null where product_type=’TOYS’

    正确答案:C

  • 第8题:

    单选题
    Income Income may be national income and personal income. Whereas national income is defined as the total earned income of all the factors of production-namely, profits, interest, rent, wages, and other compensation for labor, personal income may be defined as total money income received by individuals before personal taxes are paid. National income does not equal GNP (Gross National Product) because the factors of production do not receive payment for either capital consumption allowances or indirect business taxes, both of which are included in GNP. The money put aside for capital consumption is for replacement and thus is not counted as income. Indirect taxes include sales taxes, property taxes , and excise taxes that are paid by businesses directly to the government and so reduce the income left to pay for the factors of production. Three-fourths of national income goes for wages, salaries, and other forms of compensation to employees. Whereas national income shows the income that the factors of production earn, personal income measures the income that individuals or households receive. Corporation profits are included in national income because they are earned. Out of these profits, however, corporation profit taxes must be paid to the government, and some money must be put into the business for expansion. Only that part of profits distributed as dividends goes to the individual; therefore, out of corporation profits only dividends count as personal income. The factors of production earn money for social security and unemployment insurance contributions, but this money goes to government (which is not a factor of production), not to individuals. It is therefore part of national income but not part of personal income. On the other hand, money received by individuals when they collect social security or unemployment compensation is not money earned but money received. Interest received on government bonds is also in this category, because much of the money received from the sale of bonds went to pay for war production and that production no longer furnishes a service to the economy. The money people receive as personal income may be either spent or saved. However, not all spending is completely voluntary. A significant portion of our income goes to pay personal taxes. Most workers never receive the money they pay in personal taxes, because it is withheld from their paychecks. The money that individuals are left with after they have met their tax obligations is disposable personal income. Disposable income can be divided between personal consumption expenditures and personal savings. It is important to remember that personal saving is what is left after spending. It can be easily seen from this passage that the government levies tax on()
    A

    corporation profits

    B

    every individual even though his income is very low

    C

    those who work in joint ventures

    D

    those who work in government departments


    正确答案: A
    解析: 本文提到过个人也要缴税,但并没有说每个有收入的人都要缴纳,不管其收入是多少,但是公司的利税是必须缴的。本题的依据是第二段中的一句: Out of these profits, however, corporation profit taxes must be paid to the government... C 和D在本文中根本没有提到过,故都不对。答案为A。

  • 第9题:

    单选题
    Income Income may be national income and personal income. Whereas national income is defined as the total earned income of all the factors of production-namely, profits, interest, rent, wages, and other compensation for labor, personal income may be defined as total money income received by individuals before personal taxes are paid. National income does not equal GNP (Gross National Product) because the factors of production do not receive payment for either capital consumption allowances or indirect business taxes, both of which are included in GNP. The money put aside for capital consumption is for replacement and thus is not counted as income. Indirect taxes include sales taxes, property taxes , and excise taxes that are paid by businesses directly to the government and so reduce the income left to pay for the factors of production. Three-fourths of national income goes for wages, salaries, and other forms of compensation to employees. Whereas national income shows the income that the factors of production earn, personal income measures the income that individuals or households receive. Corporation profits are included in national income because they are earned. Out of these profits, however, corporation profit taxes must be paid to the government, and some money must be put into the business for expansion. Only that part of profits distributed as dividends goes to the individual; therefore, out of corporation profits only dividends count as personal income. The factors of production earn money for social security and unemployment insurance contributions, but this money goes to government (which is not a factor of production), not to individuals. It is therefore part of national income but not part of personal income. On the other hand, money received by individuals when they collect social security or unemployment compensation is not money earned but money received. Interest received on government bonds is also in this category, because much of the money received from the sale of bonds went to pay for war production and that production no longer furnishes a service to the economy. The money people receive as personal income may be either spent or saved. However, not all spending is completely voluntary. A significant portion of our income goes to pay personal taxes. Most workers never receive the money they pay in personal taxes, because it is withheld from their paychecks. The money that individuals are left with after they have met their tax obligations is disposable personal income. Disposable income can be divided between personal consumption expenditures and personal savings. It is important to remember that personal saving is what is left after spending. According to this passage, the money you get as interest from government bonds is()
    A

    the money earned

    B

    the money not earned but received

    C

    the money received for the contribution you have made to the economy

    D

    the money earned for the service you have furnished to the economy


    正确答案: B
    解析: 根据第三段第一句:money received by individuals when they collect social security or unemployment compensation is not money earned but money received… 以及下句Interest received on government bonds is also in this category…,可知B是答案。C项中的原因状语从句是不对的,所以C不能作为答案。答案为B。

  • 第10题:

    单选题
    You are the administrator of your company's network. You want to configure a Security Policy for the Windows 2000 Professional Computers that are in the sales department.   On one of the computers, you use Security Templates to configure the Security Policy based on the desired security settings. You then export those settings to an .inf file that will be used on all of the Computers in the sales department. You want to configure each Computer to have a customized Security Policy. What steps should you follow in order to achieve your goal?()
    A

    Use Secedit.exe to import the security settings from the .inf file to the computers in the sales department.

    B

    Use a text editor to change the default security settings to the desired security settings. Then export those settings to the Computers in the sales department.

    C

    Create an organizational unit (OU) named Sales. Add the users in the sales department to the Sales OU. Then apply the security template to the users in the Sales OU.

    D

    Create an organizational unit (OU) named Sales. Add the computers in the sales department to the Sales OU. Then apply the security template to computers in the Sales OU.


    正确答案: A
    解析: 暂无解析

  • 第11题:

    单选题
    Which of the following statements about the financial situation of the Alaska government is NOT true?
    A

    89 percent of the state income comes from the oil revenue.

    B

    State sales tax and personal income tax constitute only a fraction of the state revenue.

    C

    With a two-month shutdown, the government may well find it difficult to make ends meet.

    D

    The state income is heavily dependent upon the Prudhoe Bay.


    正确答案: B
    解析:
    事实细节的找寻和判断。在谈到阿拉斯加州的财政状况时,录音中提到“Alaska has no state sales tax and no personal income tax.”,可知该州并没有营业税和个人收入所得税。而B项指出“营业税和个人收入所得税只占该州财政收入很小的一部分),因此与录音原文不符。

  • 第12题:

    单选题
    The mass production of goods from the Industrial Revolution in the 1800’s made person-to-person selling less efficient than mass distribution.
    A

    influential      

    B

    effective

    C

    sensible  

    D

    frequent


    正确答案: D
    解析: 句意:十九世纪工业革命后商品的大量生产使得个人之间的买卖效率低于大规模运销。efficient直接生效的,效率高的。effective与之同义。influential有影响力的。sensible可察觉的,明智的。frequent频繁的。

  • 第13题:

    Many reports have been received from our ()agents in Korea that there are very heavy demands () the devices.

    A、sales,of

    B、selling,on

    C、selling,of

    D、selling,for


    参考答案:D

  • 第14题:

    在oracle数据库中,如何删除sales表中产品类型为toys的profits列的列值?()

    A.delete from sales;

    B.delete profits from sales where product_type=’TOYS’;

    C.delete from sales where product_type=’ToYS’;

    D.update sales set profits=null where product_type=’TOYS’;


    参考答案:C

  • 第15题:

    It can be inferred from the text that the retail price of petrol will go up dramatically if

    A price of crude rises.

    B commodity prices rise.

    C consumption rises.

    D oil taxes rise.


    正确答案:D

  • 第16题:

    What can we learn about the middle class families from the text? __________

    A.They blamed the government for the tuition increase
    B.Their income remained steady in the last decade
    C.They will try their best to send kids to college
    D.Their debts will be paid off within 25 years

    答案:C
    解析:
    根据第六段中的“Theywill send kidsto collegewhateverittakes,evenifthatmeans a hugeamount of debt.”可推断,应选C项。

  • 第17题:

    We believe that sales will increase soon; (), production costs will be going up also.

    • A、so
    • B、thus
    • C、on the other hand
    • D、however

    正确答案:C

  • 第18题:

    有名为 Sales 的表,现需要按客户姓名(CustomerName)和销售日期(SalesDate)排序返回销售数据。为每个客户提供最近期的销售必须首先列出。应使用的查询语句为()

    • A、select CustomerName,SalesDate from Sales group by CustomerName,SalesDate
    • B、select CustomerName,SalesDate from Sales order by CustomerName,SalesDate
    • C、select CustomerName,SalesDate from Sales group by CustomerNameorderbySalesDateDESC
    • D、select CustomerName,SalesDate from Sales order by CustomerName,SalesDateDESC

    正确答案:D

  • 第19题:

    A developer calls and reports that he accidentally dropped an important lookup table from a production database. He needs the table to be recovered. What action would you take?()  

    • A、 Initiate an incomplete recovery operation using RMAN.
    • B、 Copy the table from a development database.
    • C、 Advise the user to rekey the data.
    • D、 Perform a Flashback Drop operation.
    • E、 Perform a Flashback Recovery operation.

    正确答案:D

  • 第20题:

    单选题
    Income Income may be national income and personal income. Whereas national income is defined as the total earned income of all the factors of production-namely, profits, interest, rent, wages, and other compensation for labor, personal income may be defined as total money income received by individuals before personal taxes are paid. National income does not equal GNP (Gross National Product) because the factors of production do not receive payment for either capital consumption allowances or indirect business taxes, both of which are included in GNP. The money put aside for capital consumption is for replacement and thus is not counted as income. Indirect taxes include sales taxes, property taxes , and excise taxes that are paid by businesses directly to the government and so reduce the income left to pay for the factors of production. Three-fourths of national income goes for wages, salaries, and other forms of compensation to employees. Whereas national income shows the income that the factors of production earn, personal income measures the income that individuals or households receive. Corporation profits are included in national income because they are earned. Out of these profits, however, corporation profit taxes must be paid to the government, and some money must be put into the business for expansion. Only that part of profits distributed as dividends goes to the individual; therefore, out of corporation profits only dividends count as personal income. The factors of production earn money for social security and unemployment insurance contributions, but this money goes to government (which is not a factor of production), not to individuals. It is therefore part of national income but not part of personal income. On the other hand, money received by individuals when they collect social security or unemployment compensation is not money earned but money received. Interest received on government bonds is also in this category, because much of the money received from the sale of bonds went to pay for war production and that production no longer furnishes a service to the economy. The money people receive as personal income may be either spent or saved. However, not all spending is completely voluntary. A significant portion of our income goes to pay personal taxes. Most workers never receive the money they pay in personal taxes, because it is withheld from their paychecks. The money that individuals are left with after they have met their tax obligations is disposable personal income. Disposable income can be divided between personal consumption expenditures and personal savings. It is important to remember that personal saving is what is left after spending. This passage is mainly about()
    A

    the difference between national income and GNP

    B

    the difference between national income and personal income

    C

    the concept of income

    D

    the difference between disposable income and nondisposable income


    正确答案: A
    解析: 文章主要讲收入的两大分类及其区别。这一点可以从文章的第一句话看出。文章第一段的第一句话常常是文章的论点句。因此A,C和D均不是完整的答案。答案为B。

  • 第21题:

    单选题
    It can be inferred from the text that the retail price of petrol will go up dramatically if ______.
    A

    price of crude rises

    B

    commodity prices rise

    C

    consumption rises

    D

    oil taxes rise


    正确答案: C
    解析:
    推断题。文章第三段具体阐述了汽油零售价上涨的相关因素,第三句提到“In Europe, taxes account for up to four-fifths of the retail price”,在欧洲,石油零售价格中有高达五分之四是油税。由此可推断,油税上调最可能导致油价上涨。故D为正确答案。

  • 第22题:

    单选题
    A developer calls and reports that he accidentally dropped an important lookup table from a production database. He needs the table to be recovered. What action would you take?()
    A

     Initiate an incomplete recovery operation using RMAN.

    B

     Copy the table from a development database.

    C

     Advise the user to rekey the data.

    D

     Perform a Flashback Drop operation.

    E

     Perform a Flashback Recovery operation.


    正确答案: D
    解析: 暂无解析

  • 第23题:

    单选题
    We believe that sales will increase soon; (), production costs will be going up also.
    A

    so

    B

    thus

    C

    on the other hand

    D

    however


    正确答案: B
    解析: 暂无解析